Paraguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1919 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1919 |
PAR
0 - 3
ARG
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1919 |
PAR
1 - 5
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1919 |
ARG
4 - 1
CHI
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1919 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1919 |
PAR
0 - 3
ARG
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1919 |
ARG
2 - 3
URU
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |