Papua New Guinea vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
MAS
2 - 1
PNG
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
IRN
8 - 1
PNG
95%
5%
1%
|
43 | 87 | 44 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
PNG
2 - 0
MAS
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
0 - 0
PNG
80%
15%
6%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
PNG
2 - 1
SOL
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 0
TAH
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
TAH
3 - 0
SOL
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
TAH
1 - 1
NCL
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
PNG
2 - 2
TAH
24%
24%
53%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TAH
4 - 0
SAM
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |