Papua New Guinea vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
73.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
PNG
1 - 2
SOL
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SOL
3 - 2
PNG
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
TAH
1 - 2
PNG
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
PNG
1 - 3
TAH
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
MAS
2 - 1
PNG
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
JOR
3 - 1
NZL
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NZL
2 - 0
GAM
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BHR
0 - 1
NZL
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CUW
1 - 2
NZL
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LTU
1 - 0
NZL
23%
23%
54%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |