Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
52%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
MAS
10 - 0
PNG
66%
19%
16%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
SGP
2 - 2
PNG
60%
20%
21%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SOL
3 - 2
PNG
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
FIJ
1 - 2
PNG
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
PNG
1 - 0
NCL
17%
22%
62%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SGP
1 - 1
SOL
48%
22%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MAS
4 - 1
SOL
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
FIJ
0 - 2
SOL
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
VAN
36%
23%
41%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SOL
0 - 5
NZL
11%
19%
69%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |