Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SOL
3 - 2
PNG
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
TAH
1 - 2
PNG
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
PNG
1 - 3
TAH
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
MAS
2 - 1
PNG
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
IRN
8 - 1
PNG
95%
5%
1%
|
43 | 87 | 44 | -1 |
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SOL
3 - 2
PNG
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FIJ
1 - 0
SOL
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
FIJ
1 - 1
SOL
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 0
TAH
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
TAH
3 - 0
SOL
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |