Pakistan vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
74.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2001 |
PAK
1 - 8
LBN
17%
24%
59%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2001 |
PAK
3 - 3
LKA
61%
19%
20%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2001 |
THA
3 - 0
PAK
91%
7%
2%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
LBN
6 - 0
PAK
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2000 |
MLI
2 - 2
PAK
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2001 |
LKA
0 - 3
THA
8%
15%
77%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2001 |
LBN
1 - 2
THA
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2001 |
THA
3 - 0
PAK
91%
7%
2%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
THA
4 - 2
LKA
90%
7%
2%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
THA
2 - 0
QAT
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |