Pakistan vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
64.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MUS
3 - 0
PAK
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
MDV
1 - 0
PAK
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
NPL
1 - 0
PAK
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
PAK
1 - 2
KHM
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
KHM
2 - 0
PAK
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
IRN
2 - 1
KEN
84%
12%
4%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
KEN
2 - 1
RWA
38%
29%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 1
KEN
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
KEN
0 - 1
MLI
17%
25%
58%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
MLI
5 - 0
KEN
70%
20%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |