Pakistan vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
59.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2001 |
PAK
3 - 3
LKA
61%
19%
20%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2001 |
THA
3 - 0
PAK
91%
7%
2%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
LBN
6 - 0
PAK
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2000 |
MLI
2 - 2
PAK
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
GUI
1 - 1
PAK
80%
15%
5%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2001 |
LBN
1 - 2
THA
29%
24%
47%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2001 |
LBN
4 - 0
LKA
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
LBN
6 - 0
PAK
81%
14%
6%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
LBN
3 - 0
PHL
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 26 | 42 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
LBN
1 - 1
BHR
64%
21%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |