Pakistan vs India analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
54.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
PAK
0 - 1
IND
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
PAK
1 - 1
IND
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
KGZ
4 - 0
PAK
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
PAK
0 - 2
KGZ
55%
21%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2003 |
SGP
3 - 0
PAK
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
PAK
0 - 1
IND
24%
22%
54%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
PAK
1 - 1
IND
23%
22%
55%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
OMA
0 - 0
IND
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
KWT
2 - 3
IND
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
SGP
2 - 0
IND
62%
20%
18%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |