Pakistan vs India analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
55.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
KGZ
4 - 0
PAK
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
PAK
0 - 2
KGZ
55%
21%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2003 |
SGP
3 - 0
PAK
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
MAC
0 - 3
PAK
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2003 |
IND
2 - 1
PAK
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
OMA
0 - 0
IND
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
KWT
2 - 3
IND
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
SGP
2 - 0
IND
62%
20%
18%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
IND
0 - 4
JPN
13%
25%
62%
|
53 | 91 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
VIE
2 - 1
IND
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |