New Zealand vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
NZL
11%
20%
70%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
SOL
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NZL
0 - 0
TUN
21%
26%
54%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
EGY
1 - 0
NZL
75%
17%
9%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
IRL
1 - 1
NZL
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FIJ
1 - 0
TAH
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
PNG
1 - 1
TAH
19%
22%
59%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
TAH
2 - 0
SAM
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TAH
1 - 1
COK
61%
21%
19%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
2 - 1
NCL
25%
22%
53%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |