New Zealand vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
NZL
7 - 1
NCL
69%
19%
11%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
NZL
4 - 0
FIJ
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
PNG
0 - 1
NZL
9%
17%
74%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
JOR
3 - 1
NZL
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NZL
2 - 0
GAM
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
SOL
3 - 1
TAH
36%
25%
38%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
FIJ
1 - 1
TAH
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
VAN
2 - 0
TAH
38%
24%
39%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
TAH
1 - 2
PNG
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
PNG
1 - 3
TAH
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +4 |