New Zealand vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 2
NZL
6%
14%
80%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
NZL
6 - 1
SOL
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
NCL
0 - 2
NZL
7%
15%
78%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
SOL
3 - 4
NZL
5%
13%
81%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
NZL
0 - 2
NCL
84%
12%
4%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 2
NZL
6%
14%
80%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 4
NCL
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 0
TAH
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
NCL
0 - 1
TAH
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
SOL
0 - 1
TAH
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |