New Zealand vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
AUS
4 - 1
NZL
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
NZL
0 - 2
AUS
10%
22%
68%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
NZL
7 - 0
VAN
88%
9%
3%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2001 |
SOL
1 - 5
NZL
6%
16%
78%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2001 |
NZL
2 - 0
COK
90%
8%
2%
|
71 | 33 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
TAH
2 - 0
SOL
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2001 |
COK
0 - 6
TAH
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
TAH
0 - 5
NZL
7%
17%
77%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2001 |
VAN
1 - 6
TAH
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2000 |
VAN
3 - 2
TAH
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |