New Zealand vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1973 |
NZL
3 - 1
VAN
89%
7%
4%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1973 |
NZL
2 - 1
NCL
88%
7%
4%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
NZL
1 - 1
TAH
89%
7%
4%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
NZL
5 - 1
FIJ
89%
7%
4%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1972 |
IDN
1 - 1
NZL
66%
17%
17%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1973 |
TAH
4 - 0
FIJ
72%
15%
13%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1973 |
TAH
1 - 0
VAN
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
NZL
1 - 1
TAH
89%
7%
4%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
TAH
2 - 1
NCL
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |