New Zealand vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.2%
3-0
16.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.5%
2.2%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
VAN
1 - 2
NZL
5%
13%
82%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
11%
18%
70%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
WAL
2 - 2
NZL
66%
22%
13%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
VEN
5 - 0
NZL
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
VAN
1 - 2
NZL
5%
13%
82%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SOL
0 - 2
VAN
68%
18%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
FIJ
3 - 0
VAN
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
TON
1 - 4
VAN
7%
17%
76%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VAN
0 - 2
SOL
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |