New Zealand vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.4%
2.4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2004 |
NZL
3 - 0
SOL
87%
10%
3%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
AUS
1 - 0
NZL
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
IRN
3 - 0
NZL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FRA
5 - 0
NZL
96%
4%
0%
|
71 | 99 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
COL
3 - 1
NZL
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2004 |
FIJ
1 - 0
VAN
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
VAN
0 - 1
SOL
35%
25%
41%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
FIJ
0 - 3
VAN
84%
12%
5%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 3
VAN
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
ASA
1 - 9
VAN
1%
10%
89%
|
36 | 5 | 31 | 0 |