New Zealand vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
6 - 1
SOL
86%
10%
4%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
9 - 1
PNG
88%
9%
3%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
4 - 0
TAH
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
AUS
4 - 1
NZL
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
NZL
0 - 2
AUS
10%
22%
68%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
NCL
0 - 1
VAN
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2002 |
FIJ
0 - 1
VAN
85%
11%
5%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
2 - 0
VAN
86%
11%
3%
|
35 | 90 | 55 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
VGB
2 - 1
VAN
53%
22%
26%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
NZL
7 - 0
VAN
88%
9%
3%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | 0 |