New Zealand vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
2.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2000 |
NZL
2 - 0
TAH
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
NZL
0 - 0
KOR
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2000 |
NZL
0 - 1
KOR
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
JAM
2 - 1
NZL
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2000 |
CHN
1 - 0
NZL
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2000 |
GLP
1 - 0
VAN
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2000 |
GLP
3 - 1
VAN
62%
19%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
PNG
1 - 5
VAN
58%
21%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2000 |
VAN
6 - 0
GLP
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +5 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
FIJ
4 - 1
VAN
76%
15%
10%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |