New Zealand vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
75.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 1
NZL
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
RUS
2 - 0
NZL
75%
16%
8%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
BLR
1 - 0
NZL
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
NIR
1 - 0
NZL
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
NZL
2 - 0
FIJ
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
RUS
0 - 1
POR
29%
25%
47%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
POR
2 - 2
MEX
47%
24%
29%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
LVA
0 - 3
POR
9%
19%
72%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
POR
4 - 0
CYP
88%
10%
3%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 3
SWE
64%
20%
15%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |