WC Play Offs Final
Global 0-2
New Zealand vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
63.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
JPN
2 - 1
NZL
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
SLB
2 - 2
NZL
9%
18%
74%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
NZL
6 - 1
SLB
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
NZL
0 - 4
PRT
7%
17%
76%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 1
NZL
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
COL
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
ARG
0 - 0
PER
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
ECU
1 - 2
PER
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
PER
2 - 1
BOL
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
PER
3 - 1
JAM
72%
18%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |