New Zealand vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.3%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.7%
2.9%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
NCL
1 - 3
NZL
6%
14%
80%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NZL
4 - 1
VAN
89%
9%
2%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
VAN
1 - 2
NZL
5%
13%
82%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
11%
18%
70%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
NCL
1 - 3
NZL
6%
14%
80%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
NCL
3 - 0
VAN
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
VAN
1 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
49%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NCL
4 - 0
FIJ
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
FIJ
3 - 3
NCL
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |