New Zealand vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
AUS
0 - 2
NZL
78%
14%
9%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1983 |
NZL
2 - 1
AUS
37%
23%
40%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1982 |
BRA
4 - 0
NZL
89%
8%
4%
|
65 | 96 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1982 |
SUN
3 - 0
NZL
86%
10%
5%
|
65 | 92 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1982 |
SCO
5 - 2
NZL
79%
13%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1983 |
GHA
1 - 0
NGA
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1983 |
GHA
1 - 0
LBY
70%
17%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1982 |
SEN
2 - 2
GHA
27%
23%
50%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1982 |
THA
1 - 4
GHA
33%
25%
41%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1982 |
IND
0 - 1
GHA
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |