New Zealand vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
19%
22%
58%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
NCL
0 - 0
NZL
14%
20%
65%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NZL
2 - 0
NCL
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
USA
1 - 1
NZL
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 2
MEX
10%
20%
70%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
19%
22%
58%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
FIJ
1 - 1
MAS
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
FIJ
2 - 3
VAN
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 1
FIJ
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
NZL
3 - 1
FIJ
66%
20%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |