New Zealand vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
OMA
0 - 1
NZL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
MMR
1 - 1
NZL
11%
18%
70%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
KOR
1 - 0
NZL
68%
21%
12%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
THA
2 - 0
NZL
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
CHN
1 - 1
NZL
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
VAN
2 - 1
FIJ
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VAN
1 - 1
FIJ
17%
21%
62%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
FIJ
6 - 0
ASA
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 8 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
FIJ
5 - 0
TON
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
PNG
1 - 1
FIJ
9%
18%
74%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |