New Zealand vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1991 |
NZL
0 - 2
ENG
19%
28%
52%
|
74 | 94 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1991 |
NZL
0 - 1
ENG
19%
28%
53%
|
74 | 94 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1991 |
AUS
2 - 1
NZL
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
NZL
0 - 1
AUS
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1990 |
NZL
1 - 0
CHN
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1991 |
FIJ
1 - 1
CYM
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1991 |
FIJ
3 - 1
VAN
71%
16%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
TAH
0 - 3
FIJ
50%
23%
28%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1990 |
FIJ
1 - 0
PNG
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1990 |
FIJ
1 - 1
VAN
70%
17%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |