New Zealand vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
67.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 0
NZL
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
CRC
1 - 0
NZL
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
NZL
0 - 0
OMA
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
NZL
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SOL
0 - 5
NZL
11%
19%
69%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 0
NZL
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
AUS
0 - 0
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
AUS
2 - 1
JOR
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
CHN
1 - 1
AUS
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
AUS
0 - 0
KSA
66%
20%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |