WC Qual. Oceania Playoffs Final
Global 8-3
New Zealand vs Solomon Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
NZL
0 - 4
POR
7%
17%
76%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 1
NZL
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
RUS
2 - 0
NZL
75%
16%
8%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
BLR
1 - 0
NZL
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
NIR
1 - 0
NZL
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
PNG
1 - 2
SOL
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SOL
3 - 2
PNG
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FIJ
1 - 0
SOL
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
FIJ
1 - 1
SOL
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 0
TAH
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |