New Zealand vs Solomon Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
NCL
0 - 2
NZL
7%
15%
78%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
SOL
3 - 4
NZL
5%
13%
81%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
NZL
0 - 2
NCL
84%
12%
4%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
NZL
1 - 1
SOL
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
PNG
1 - 2
NZL
3%
11%
86%
|
71 | 35 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 0
TAH
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
SOL
3 - 4
NZL
5%
13%
81%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
SOL
0 - 1
TAH
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
NZL
1 - 1
SOL
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
FIJ
0 - 0
SOL
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |