New Zealand vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1927 |
NZL
1 - 2
CAN
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1927 |
NZL
2 - 2
CAN
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1923 |
AUS
1 - 4
NZL
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1923 |
AUS
2 - 3
NZL
65%
18%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1923 |
AUS
2 - 1
NZL
65%
19%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1927 |
NZL
1 - 2
CAN
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1927 |
NZL
2 - 2
CAN
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
USA
6 - 2
CAN
70%
17%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1925 |
USA
6 - 1
CAN
68%
18%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1925 |
CAN
1 - 0
USA
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |