New Caledonia vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
VAN
1 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
49%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NCL
4 - 0
FIJ
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
FIJ
3 - 3
NCL
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 0
FIJ
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
SOL
2 - 3
NCL
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
VAN
1 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
49%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NZL
4 - 1
VAN
89%
9%
2%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
VAN
1 - 2
NZL
5%
13%
82%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SOL
0 - 2
VAN
68%
18%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
FIJ
3 - 0
VAN
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |