New Caledonia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
79.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
NCL
3 - 0
VAN
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
VAN
1 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
49%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NCL
4 - 0
FIJ
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
FIJ
3 - 3
NCL
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 0
FIJ
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NZL
4 - 1
VAN
89%
9%
2%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
VAN
1 - 2
NZL
5%
13%
82%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
11%
18%
70%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
WAL
2 - 2
NZL
66%
22%
13%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |