New Caledonia vs Cook Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
TUV
0 - 1
NCL
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 0
TAH
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
NCL
8 - 0
TON
84%
12%
5%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
NCL
8 - 0
COK
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SOL
2 - 0
NCL
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
FIJ
4 - 0
COK
89%
8%
2%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
NCL
8 - 0
COK
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
TON
2 - 1
COK
16%
21%
62%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
SOL
5 - 0
COK
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
TAH
2 - 0
COK
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |