New Caledonia vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
FIJ
2 - 2
NCL
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
NCL
0 - 0
NZL
14%
20%
65%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NZL
2 - 0
NCL
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 1
NCL
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 3
NCL
26%
23%
50%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
FIJ
2 - 2
NCL
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FIJ
1 - 0
SOL
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
FIJ
1 - 1
SOL
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
NZL
2 - 0
FIJ
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
19%
22%
58%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +2 |