New Caledonia vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
FIJ
3 - 3
NCL
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 0
FIJ
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
SOL
2 - 3
NCL
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 1
FIJ
14%
21%
65%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
NCL
3 - 0
COK
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
FIJ
3 - 3
NCL
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
11%
18%
70%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
12%
19%
69%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 0
FIJ
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
FIJ
3 - 0
VAN
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |