New Caledonia vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
SOL
2 - 3
NCL
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 1
FIJ
14%
21%
65%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
NCL
3 - 0
COK
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
TUV
0 - 1
NCL
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 0
TAH
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
FIJ
3 - 0
VAN
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 1
FIJ
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TAH
0 - 4
FIJ
19%
23%
59%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
FIJ
4 - 0
COK
89%
8%
2%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
FIJ
16 - 0
TUV
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | +1 |