New Caledonia vs Solomon Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 6
NCL
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 4
NCL
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
NCL
0 - 2
NZL
7%
15%
78%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
NCL
0 - 1
TAH
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
NZL
0 - 2
NCL
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 6
NCL
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
NZL
6 - 1
SOL
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 0
TAH
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
SOL
3 - 4
NZL
5%
13%
81%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
SOL
0 - 1
TAH
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |