Norway vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1961 |
SUN
5 - 2
NOR
59%
18%
23%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1961 |
FIN
4 - 1
NOR
37%
21%
42%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1961 |
NOR
0 - 1
TUR
43%
21%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1961 |
NOR
1 - 1
MEX
34%
21%
45%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
IRL
3 - 1
NOR
63%
17%
20%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1961 |
SUN
5 - 2
NOR
59%
18%
23%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1961 |
SUN
0 - 0
ARG
33%
24%
43%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1961 |
SUN
1 - 0
TUR
49%
20%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
POL
1 - 0
SUN
57%
19%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
AUT
3 - 1
SUN
79%
12%
8%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |