Norway vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
59.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1975 |
NOR
3 - 2
ISL
73%
14%
13%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1975 |
ISL
1 - 1
NOR
50%
21%
30%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1975 |
SWE
3 - 1
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1975 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1975 |
NOR
1 - 3
YUG
13%
20%
67%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1975 |
SWE
3 - 1
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 2
YUG
53%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1975 |
SWE
4 - 0
ALG
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 1
SCO
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1974 |
SWE
0 - 2
NIR
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |