Norway vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1933 |
FIN
1 - 5
NOR
52%
19%
29%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1933 |
NOR
4 - 2
HUN
90%
7%
3%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
DEN
2 - 2
NOR
68%
16%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
NOR
1 - 2
WAL
90%
7%
3%
|
72 | 10 | 62 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1933 |
SWE
2 - 0
FIN
84%
9%
6%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1933 |
LVA
1 - 1
SWE
33%
22%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1933 |
SWE
5 - 2
HUN
63%
17%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1933 |
LTU
0 - 2
SWE
27%
21%
52%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
SWE
2 - 3
DEN
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |