Norway vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
39.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1931 |
FIN
4 - 4
NOR
48%
21%
31%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
NOR
2 - 2
GER
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1931 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
GER
1 - 1
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1930 |
NOR
1 - 0
DEN
45%
23%
33%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1931 |
SWE
6 - 0
LVA
83%
10%
7%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1931 |
SWE
3 - 1
EST
84%
10%
6%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1931 |
SWE
8 - 2
FIN
85%
9%
6%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
SWE
3 - 1
DEN
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1931 |
SWE
0 - 0
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |