Norway vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1925 |
DEN
5 - 1
NOR
74%
15%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1925 |
NOR
1 - 0
FIN
54%
22%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1924 |
FIN
2 - 0
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1924 |
SWE
6 - 1
NOR
74%
15%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1924 |
NOR
1 - 3
DEN
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1925 |
SWE
6 - 2
HUN
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1925 |
SWE
2 - 4
AUT
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1925 |
SWE
1 - 0
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1925 |
SWE
0 - 2
DEN
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1925 |
SWE
4 - 0
FIN
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |