Norway vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1921 |
NOR
3 - 2
FIN
55%
22%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1920 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
75%
14%
11%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1920 |
ITA
2 - 1
NOR
66%
18%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1920 |
CSK
4 - 0
NOR
66%
18%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
NOR
3 - 1
GBR
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1921 |
SWE
0 - 3
FIN
73%
15%
12%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
AUT
2 - 2
SWE
64%
18%
17%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1920 |
SWE
0 - 2
DEN
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1920 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1920 |
FIN
1 - 0
SWE
46%
23%
32%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |