Norway vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1920 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEN
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1919 |
NOR
3 - 2
DEN
28%
24%
49%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1919 |
SWE
1 - 5
NOR
78%
13%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 1919 |
NOR
1 - 1
NED
25%
22%
53%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1919 |
NOR
4 - 3
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1920 |
SWE
0 - 1
SUI
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1920 |
SWE
4 - 0
FIN
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1919 |
SWE
3 - 0
DEN
44%
23%
34%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1919 |
FIN
3 - 3
SWE
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1919 |
SWE
1 - 5
NOR
78%
13%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |