Norway vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1918 |
NOR
3 - 1
DEN
23%
23%
54%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1918 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
7%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1917 |
DEN
12 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1917 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1917 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1918 |
DEN
3 - 0
SWE
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1918 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
7%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1917 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
51%
21%
27%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1917 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1917 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |