Norway vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1917 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1917 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1916 |
DEN
8 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1916 |
NOR
1 - 1
USA
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1917 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1917 |
DEN
1 - 1
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1916 |
SWE
4 - 0
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1916 |
SWE
2 - 3
USA
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |