Norway vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1955 |
NOR
0 - 5
HUN
24%
20%
56%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
IRL
2 - 1
NOR
53%
19%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
DEN
0 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
NOR
1 - 1
SWE
39%
21%
40%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1954 |
NOR
3 - 1
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1955 |
IRL
1 - 0
NED
55%
18%
27%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
IRL
2 - 1
NOR
53%
19%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
LUX
0 - 1
IRL
56%
19%
25%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1953 |
FRA
1 - 0
IRL
64%
17%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1953 |
IRL
4 - 0
LUX
68%
16%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |