Norway vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1967 |
FIN
0 - 2
NOR
47%
22%
31%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1966 |
BRD
3 - 0
NOR
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
BGR
4 - 2
NOR
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
NOR
2 - 4
SWE
32%
24%
44%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1967 |
SWE
1 - 1
POR
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1967 |
ITA
1 - 1
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
POR
1 - 2
SWE
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1966 |
POR
2 - 1
SUN
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 1
POR
87%
8%
4%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |