Norway vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
POR
2 - 1
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
SWE
5 - 2
NOR
80%
13%
8%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
NOR
0 - 5
DEN
50%
21%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
NOR
3 - 1
SWE
31%
24%
46%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1967 |
NOR
0 - 0
BGR
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1968 |
IRL
2 - 2
POL
56%
22%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1968 |
POL
0 - 0
NED
58%
21%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
POL
8 - 0
TUR
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
POL
0 - 0
ROU
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
BEL
2 - 4
POL
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |