Norway vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 1
NOR
71%
15%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1936 |
GER
0 - 2
NOR
69%
16%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1936 |
TUR
0 - 4
NOR
49%
21%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 1936 |
SWE
3 - 4
NOR
77%
12%
10%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1936 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
76%
13%
11%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1936 |
POL
1 - 3
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
POL
5 - 4
GBR
61%
19%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1936 |
POL
3 - 0
HUN
39%
21%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
BEL
0 - 2
POL
52%
20%
28%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
ROU
4 - 1
POL
57%
19%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |